Trump Leads, Kamala Harris on Track to Lose Popular Vote

According to a Gallup poll conducted this month, voters’ party identification and other factors suggest Democratic nominee Kamala Harris may be on track to lose the popular vote to former President Donald Trump in November. Gallup’s party identification measure has accurately predicted the popular vote of the past four presidential elections within one percentage point. “Nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential election outcomes or that speak to current p